NBA expert Grant Mitchell breaks down his top NBA picks and player props today for Knicks vs. Pacers Game 4 on Tuesday, May 27.
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NBA picks today: Knicks vs. Pacers Game 4
NBA picks today: Karl-Anthony Towns over 21.5 points (-105 at Caesars)
Towns went over in two of three games and scored at least 20 points in every game. That’s after he averaged 30.3 points on 56.7 percent shooting during three regular-season matchups with the Pacers. Indy doesn’t have the interior strength to slow him down when he gets a head of steam, and he made 3.0 threes per game on 45 percent efficiency from range.
Knicks vs. Pacers bets: Josh Hart under 0.5 threes (+110 at DraftKings)
Hart only made one three in five attempts in the series. His recent move to the bench should limit his minutes, and the Pacers held the Knicks to 33.7 percent three-point shooting in the series. Hart also just looks a little out of place on offense in this series and would rather turn down open shots than take them.
NBA prop picks: Obi Toppin over 3.5 rebounds (-114 at FanDuel)
Toppin went over in two of three games in this series, including the four boards he grabbed in just 14 minutes in Game 3. Aaron Nesmith is dinged and could even miss Game 4, which would open the door to more minutes for players such as Toppin. The Pacers have the lowest rebound rate in the conference finals, and Toppin can provide much-needed production on the glass.